Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Market Update

FNMA 30-YR 4.0%

Opened -19 BP from previous close (Opening Price 97.438)

Key Economic Data:

EUR / USD 1.3644 Up 0.0061
USD / JPY 82.1373 Down 0.1885
GBP / USD 1.6066 Down 0.0043

OIL 86.59 Down 0.89
Gold 1,356.50 Up 8.30

Key Economic News:

A few second- and third-tier indicators, on small business sentiment, job vacancies and turnover, and consumer confidence…

7:30: NFIB small business optimism index for Jan…another leg up? This index gave back a part of the gain it posted in November, but all 12 of the analysts who have forecasts for January look for another modest increase. The improvement in recent months reflects modestly better assessments for a wide range of business conditions, including expectations of easier credit, better general economic conditions, sales, and plans to increase employment.
Median forecast (of 12): 94, ranging from 93 to 96; last 92.6.

10:00 JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) for Dec…This monthly survey shows steady improvement in vacancies but only modest evidence of a pickup in hires.

17:00: ABC consumer comfort index…faint signal through a lot of noise. This index is back up to the old resistance level of -41, ready (hopefully) to push though again.

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